Adam Taggart's Thoughtful Money®

Adam Taggart's Thoughtful Money®

Stocks Are "As Expensive As I've Ever Seen Them" | Ted Oakley

And he thinks they're in the 8th or 9th inning at this stage

Adam Taggart's avatar
Adam Taggart
Dec 11, 2025
∙ Paid

Short of a dramatic surprise in the next few weeks, the markets should end 2025 with another big double-digit positive return, for the third year in a row.

A string of three-peats like this is quite rare in markets.

Which raises the question: Can the momentum last in 2026?

Or will the market’s returns start to mean revert?


To discuss, we have the good fortune of welcoming back to the program high net worth financial advisor Ted Oakley, Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors.

Ted thinks stocks are as expensive as he’s ever seen them in his long career.

And while he admits no one knows when the market top will be in, he’s pretty confident we’re in the 8th or 9th inning of the bull market at this stage.

NOTE: Ted and the Oxbow team are holding a free webinar on succession planning next week (Monday Dec 15 at 7pmET). Click the button below to register for it:

Register For The Succession Webinar

And to watch today’s interview with Ted, click here on the video below:


REMINDER: In celebration of the silver price shooting above $60/oz for the first time in history, Andy Schectman, CEO of Miles Franklin, is kindly offering an exclusive discount to the Thoughtful Money audience:

While supplies last, he’s willing to sell us junk silver at $1 *below* spot.

If you’d like to take him up on this offer, or talk with him & his staff about any other questions/needs you have regarding buying or storing precious metals, just click on the button below and fill out the short form:

Contact Miles Franklin About This Offer


I’m so grateful to everyone who has kindly supported me by becoming a premium subscriber to this Substack. It makes an important difference in helping me fund the substantial operating costs of running Thoughtful Money.

Premium supporters receive my “Adam’s Notes” summaries to the interviews I do, the wildly-popular MacroPass™ rotation of reports from esteemed experts, VIP discounts, plus periodic advance-viewing/exclusive content. My Adam’s Notes for this discussion with Ted are available to them below.

If you, too, would like to become a premium subscriber to this Substack (it’s only $0.52/day), then sign up now below:


Adam’s Notes: Ted Oakley (recorded 12.9.25)

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Market Outlook for 2026: Ted Oakley anticipates a slowdown in the economy due to weakening employment, with potential market strength in Q1 but a significant peak and correction likely in the second or third quarter, viewing current valuations as extremely high and in the “eighth or ninth inning” of the cycle.

  • Bear Market Risks: He expects a true bear market by

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Adam Taggart.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Adam Taggart · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture